Candidates from the Party of Regions of Ukraine have a good chance to win in almost every single-seat constituency in the east and south of Ukraine, Batkivschyna and Svoboda dominate in the west, while self-nominees are winning in most central and northern constituencies, according to preliminary results of the vote count.
In particular, the Party of Regions has a good chance to win in all
constituencies in Donetsk region (21 constituencies), Luhansk region
(11), Kharkiv region (14), as well as in Crimea and Sevastopol (12).
The Party of Regions can count on at least 16 seats in Dnipropetrovsk
region, eight in Zaporizhia, and seven in Odesa. On the whole, these
loyal regions can give the party about 90 seats.
The Batkivschyna United Opposition and the Svoboda all-Ukrainian
Union can get five seats each in single-mandate constituencies in Lviv
region. They can also divide the mandates in single-seat constituencies
of Rivne, Ternopil and Ivano-Frankivsk regions.
At the same time, both candidates from the Party of Regions and the
opposition, as well as self-nominees can win in single-seat
constituencies in Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, Poltava and Chernihiv regions.
The struggle between the candidates is ongoing in several districts.
So the final distribution of seats in single-mandate constituencies will
be clear after all the ballots are counted and all the litigations end.
Then it will become clear whether the Party of Regions will secure a
simple majority in parliament without the participation of other
political forces, for which it needs to get about 160 seats in
single-mandate constituencies.
The elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine took place on Oct.
28. They were conducted under a mixed system, with 225 MPs elected on
party lists and 225 in single-seat constituencies (the elections in 2007
were held under a proportional system). Parliamentary candidates run in
single-seat constituencies either from parties or through
self-nomination. The election threshold for parties on party lists in
these elections is 5%.
