Poll: Yanukovych could beat Tymoshenko in run-off by a wide margin

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Oct. 28, 2009, 4:49 p.m. | Politics — by Interfax-Ukraine

Viktor Yanukovych

Regions Party leader Viktor Yanukovych and leader of the eponymous bloc, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko continue to top presidential ratings, but the opposition leader has every chance of beating the Ukrainian premier by a wide margin, according to a survey conducted by Research & Branding Group on October 12-22. A total of 3,118 people from all Ukrainian regions participated in the poll. The poll's margin of error is 2.2%.

The study showed that 31% of respondents would have voted for Yanukovych, 18.4% for Tymoshenko, and 9.6% for NGO Front for Change leader Arseniy Yatseniuk.

Some 3.5% of those polled said they would have voted for incumbent President Viktor Yushchenko, and the same percentage is ready to support Communist Party leader Petro Symonenko.

Some 3.6% of Ukrainians support well-known banker Sergiy Tigipko, 2.3% Parliament Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn, and 3% would have voted for other presidential candidates.

Moreover, 9.6% are ready to vote against all candidates, 6.8% said they would not go to polling stations, and 9% were undecided.

If Yanukovych and Tymoshenko had participated in the run-off, they would have received 41.9% and 29.8% of the vote respectively.
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Anonymous Oct. 28, 2009, 5:49 p.m.    

This poll is in line with similar recent polls. It shows Yushchenko marginally picking up votes but at the expense of Yatsenyuk.

Disappointingly Research and Branding have not published the details of this poll in English on their web site. The Ukrainian version does not include a full breakdown of the vote, which they normally have produced in the past. Missing form the results is the number of voters not accounted for making up 100% of those surveyed. The absence of this information undermines confidence in the published results bringing into question the professionalism of the poll itself.

Kyiv post should also be seeking this information in the course of its publication of the poll results.

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Anonymous Oct. 28, 2009, 6:54 p.m.    

I thought Yatseniuk had registered a party? Who is it he still refers to hims self as a NGO. Since when has political parties been NGO's Is the Red Cross a Political party? This is a serious misuse of the term NGO. What he dopes not want to be elected to government?

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Anonymous Oct. 29, 2009, 12:43 a.m.    

The information published above shows over a 84.3 to 93.2 participation rate which is very high and adds up to 100.3% Something is wrong with the data as presented. Another publication by Kyiv Post indicated that a participation rate of only 60% this is a big difference. I expect more will not vote depending on the severity of Ukraine's winter.

Visited B&B's web site and they have not published the fill list of survey responses. (Another indication of a flaw in the survey results) This is the second poll r&b have released this month with a week apart. It is imperative that they publish the full breakdown of the survey to instill confidence in its findings. Previously they did just that. The fact that this time they have not does bring into question the intregrity of the survey.

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Anonymous Oct. 29, 2009, 12:44 a.m.

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Anonymous Oct. 30, 2009, 11:34 a.m.    

The English version is up but it is still lacking detail and as such credibility. Information published does not add-up to 100%

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Anonymous Oct. 30, 2009, 3:38 a.m.    

You tell em Craats!!! LOL

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Anonymous Oct. 30, 2009, 2:02 p.m.    

lools to me just about right...

yanukovych must contain himself and not allow himself the luxury of claiming and thinking he's already won.

january 17 poll is the one that will count...

hulya should be happy getting PMship.

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