Update: Tymoshenko says dissolution of parliamentary coalition illegal

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March 2, 2010, 3:36 p.m. | Politics — by Interfax-Ukraine

"The coalition was disbanded illegally," Tymoshenko said.

The resolution about the termination of activities of the coalition in the Verkhovna Rada has no judicial force, said Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko. "The coalition was disbanded illegally," she said at a briefing in Kyiv on Mar. 2.

Tymoshenko said a democratic coalition and a democratic government continued to exist in Ukraine despite "the rigged presidential elections and the clear anti-Ukrainian position of Yanukovych's policy."

The premier reiterated that the coalition and the Cabinet could have become an obstacle to all actions unacceptable for the normal development of the country. "It was essentially the last bastion, which we should have defended if we had wanted to defend our independence," she said.

Tymoshenko blamed the destruction of the coalition on the Lytvyn Bloc and "Our Ukraine, including the leader of Our Ukraine who announced the position of the faction."

"I think it's really an historical responsibility. Further, we will clearly see that the country has been lost," she said.
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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 3:52 p.m.    

Anything to cling on to power.


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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 4:05 p.m.    

Tymoshenko is showing the entire world that she is little more than a raving lunatic. Anyone else would resign and retain some dignity.

It's time for Tymo to go.

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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 5:32 p.m.    

And it's time you should be actively involved in Ukrainian politics... since you know it all better... Are you brave enough?

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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 6:50 p.m.    

Ukraine is slowly becoming part of Russia. It is weak as an independent country and should be annexed by Russia as soon as possible.

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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 7:50 p.m.    

Thanks so much for that. Any other valuable information you have for us today?

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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 10:07 p.m.    

Funny, that — particularly since so many parts of the Russian Federation are busy leaving it — in spirit and in substance.

Dreams of unification are a forlorn hope — that magically, without offering anything but ideology, Russia will be made strong again. Make the changes inside Russia that would make people wish to strengthen ties with the place. Offer them an interest and a stake. At the moment the &quot;sovereign democracy&quot; and &quot;power vertical&quot; models are turning every city, town and village outside the Moscow/Peter corridor into Dagestan.

The only difference is, in the days of the Soviet Union, Balts, Belorussians and Ukrainians could be deployed in the Caucasus, Central Asia and the country's far east to draw the ire of the locals. Last year, Russia deployed Moscow police units to quell the rioting in Vladivostok.

Ukraine may be &quot;weak as an independent country&quot; — but the truth of the matter is that Russia, without dependents, feels herself weaker. If Russia hasn't managed to wring a meaningful concession from Lukashenka's Belarus, let alone Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan (where Russia has more potential for soft power) — why do you imagine that Ukraine will join the far-right fringe in drinking Dugin's Eurasian kool-aid?

If that's all you have, Russia's put a cheap, cheap offer on the table to ransom her future with — to which the answer will be, in the language of Pushkin, Chekov, Dostoyevsky: нет.

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Anonymous March 2, 2010, 10:04 p.m.    

Our Ukraine along with Bloc Lytyn have once again proved that they are not a trustworthy coalition partners and that they will gravitate to the powers that be The stage has been set for a vote of no confidence in the government. If a motion is passed then the fuse will be lite and the countdown will begin. Ukraine's parliament will have on month in which to decide will they face the people of Ukraine and hold a fresh round, the third in as four years, of parliamentary elections.

Yanukovych's ultimatum &quot;form a new government or face reflections&quot;

Under the provisions of Ukraine's Constitution (Article 83) a governing coalition must be formed with with support of factions (not individuals) representing a majority of members of Parliament and 6- days to form a new cabinet. With the passing of a vote of no coincidence the existing cabinet will be deemed to have resigned but they are entitled to remain in office until a new government is appointed and approved by the President of Ukraine. Viktor Yanukovych is not obliged to dismiss Ukraine's Parliament one the exoriatin trigger has elapsed but he in the passing of these dates the President will have considerable greater authority to apply pressure on the existing parliamentary to support a new governing coalition with party of Regions.

If fresh Parliamentary elections were held during the first round of presidential elections Sergei Tigipko would hold the balance of power. Bloc Lytvyn would lose representation and Our Ukraine-Peoples Self defence would no longer exist with Our Ukraine fracturing into two or more parts. Arseniy Yatsenyuk would lead the forth highest political faction. Peoples Self defense have already declared that they will move into opposition with Bloc Tymoshenko should Party of Regions move into government.

The threat of a new parliamentary election is a strong incentive for Lytvyn to go with the flow, what ever direction pressure is applied. All indications are he will do just that. Lytvyn will vote to support a new governing coalition. The problem being that once a vote of no confidence is passed there is no turning back, the horse trading will be on on in all seriousness.

Much will depend on how the our Ukraine-Peoples' Self Defense faction as a whole will vote. They are not a united faction and a majority of its members will have to decide who to support Tymoshenko or Party of Regions.

The formation of a new government might buy more time but the inevitable need to hold fresh elections will eventually win out. Our Ukraine will begin to lose public support and a large percentage of their support base will gravitate to Tymoshenko who will then be in opposition. Eventually Our Ukraine and party of regions will fall out and an impasse on policy and direction will see Our Ukraine once again take an opposing point of view. Party of Regions will have noting to fear from fresh elections, the main losers will be Lytvn and Our Ukraine.

Waiting in the wings of course is Sergei Tigipko who if elections are held sooner than then later will be main benefactor and who will most likely hold the balance of power and be in a position to decide who will be in government. Party of Regions will consider Tikipko a more stable coalition partner something that both Party of Regions and Tigipko can play off in a parliamentary campaign.

Bloc Tymoshenko, assuming it will remain united faced with moving into opposition, can also decide to force parliamentary elections should Our Ukraine support a coalition with Party of Regions. Bloc Tymoshenko, as they did in 2007, can resign their mandate and cancel their election list at a time of their choosing. But this also has some risk s as it also work against them as Ukraine begins to tire of the constant political round Robbin of elections. Tymoshenko would become the focus of voter resentment but so too could Party of regions and all other political parties except Tigipko and Yanteniuk.

Party of regions holds all the trump cards the only thing missing is a constitutional majority. The President of Ukraine still holds considerable power, the power of veto, the right to make presidential declarations and authority to dismiss Ukraine's Parliament should it be deemed necessary,

A third alternative, but more remote, is the formation of a constitutional majority coalition between Bloc Tymoshenko and Party of Regions. If Bloc Tomoschenko and Party of Regions were able to return to the negotiating table and form a governing coalition of unity then opportunity could exist to reform Ukraine's Constitution and system of governance. Ukraine could become a full parliamentary system of governance. This is unlikely to happen now that Yanukovych has been elected President, Party of Regions let alone Yanukovych will not give up power no that they have won it - even if it is in Ukraine best long term interest.

As long as Ukraine remains divided it will sadly continue to ride the roller-coaster of political instability and power struggle between the office of the president and the people's parliamentary representatives.

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