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Survey: Yanukovych could beat Tymoshenko in run-off by margin of 14%
Dec 15, 2009 at 14:49 | Interfax-UkraineDirector of the IFES' F. Clifton White Applied Research Center for Democracy and Elections Rakesh Sharma presented the results of the survey at a press conference in Kyiv on Dec. 15.
The survey showed that Yanukovych would have won 42% of the vote during the second round of the presidential election, while Tymoshenko would have taken only 28%.
Some 18% of respondents said that they are to planning to support neither presidential candidates and would have voted against them all.
"Given the practice of previous years, the number of people who voted against both candidates in the presidential run-off does not exceed 3%, so 15% out of the 18% are people who will vote against everybody or change their mind and vote for one of the two candidates," Director General of the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology Volodymyr Paniotto said at the press conference.
Yanukovych and Tymoshenko's winning through to the run-off is determined by the ratings of candidates. According to the IFES survey, 31% of Ukrainians are ready to vote for Yanukovych and 19% for Tymoshenko in the first round of the presidential election. Some 4.8% are ready to support banker Sergiy Tigipko, 4.7% Front for Change leader Arseniy Yatseniuk, and 3.8% Communist Party leader Petro Symonenko.
Only 3.5% of respondents said they are ready to support incumbent President Victor Yuschenko and 2.8% Verkhovna Rada Chairman Volodymyr Lytvyn.
The survey was conducted on November 21-31, 2009. A total of 1,502 respondents from all Ukrainian regions participated in the survey. The poll's margin of error is 2.5%.
The International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) is an independent, non-governmental organization headquartered in Washington.