ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 2, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian officials are continuing to exploit the temporary energy infrastructure ceasefire’s vague or unfinalized terms.
  • US officials reportedly continue to acknowledge Russian President Vladimir Putin’s unwillingness to commit to a general ceasefire in Ukraine.
  • CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Kirill Dmitriev will reportedly meet with US Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Washington, D.C. on April 2.
  • The Russian military command reportedly began reorganizing the motorized rifle brigades of the 51st and 3rd combined arms armies (CAAs) such that each army would have three rifle divisions or motorized rifle divisions, likely in an effort to improve the CAAs’ administrative structure, especially over larger numbers of unmechanized riflemen.
  • The Ukrainian General Staff reported on April 1 that Russian forces in Ukraine are continuing to use ammunition equipped with chemical agents prohibited under the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC).
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Velyka Novosilka.
  • Russian authorities continued efforts to solidify their control over the Russian information space and discourage critique of the Russian military’s conduct of the war in Ukraine.

Authors: Angelica Evans, Davit Gasparyan, Olivia Gibson, Daria Novikov, and George Barros with Nate Trotter and William Runkel.

See the original here.