- Russian territorial gains in Ukraine have decreased during the first quarter of 2025, with Russian forces highly likely seizing only 143 sq km of Ukrainian territory in March 2025, an average of less than 5 square kilometres per day.
- Russia’s rate of advance has dropped month by month since November 2024, when its forces seized more than 700 sq km. Most of the advances by Russian forces in March 2025 were in central Donetsk oblast, but Russia did not improve its operational position. Ukrainian forces also carried out tactical counter-attacks, reversing some of Russia’s gains around Pokrovsk.
- The level of Russian ground attacks on several axes was reduced through much of March 2025. These began to increase towards the end of the month but have not resulted in a higher rate of advance.