- In April 2025, Russian territorial gains in Ukraine continued at a significantly decreased rate relative to late 2024.
- Russian Ground Forces (RGF) highly likely seized approximately 200 sq km of Ukrainian territory in April 2025, an average of approximately 6 sq km per day. This is only a slight increase on the approximately 150 sq km Russian forces seized in March 2025, which was the lowest total observed since June 2024.
- Throughout April, RGF made tactical gains around Pokrovsk - the key Ukrainian logistics hub which supports operations in the Donbas. Pokrovsk has likely remained the priority axis for Russia in its campaign but it has been unable to make any notable advances around the city since late 2024.
- While Russia conducts its Victory Day commemorations on 09 May 2025 for its role in what Russia calls the ‘Great Patriotic War, Ukrainian forces highly likely continue to conduct limited kinetic operations in Russia’s Kursk border region. Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk, in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, is the first time since the Second World War that foreign troops have conducted operations in Russian territory.