ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian forces conducted the largest single drone strike of the war against Ukraine on the night of May 17 to 18 — in disregard of US President Donald Trump’s calls for Russia to stop long-range strikes against Ukraine, particularly against Kyiv Oblast.
  • The Kremlin continues efforts to project Russia’s military strength ahead of US President Donald Trump’s scheduled phone call with Putin on May 19.
  • Reported support within the Russian military and society for continuing the war until Russia achieves its original war aims and territorial demands reflects the success of the Kremlin’s years-long narrative efforts to justify a protracted war effort.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky continues efforts to negotiate a diplomatic end to the war in Ukraine.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Borova and Toretsk.

Authors: Anna Harvey, Olivia Gibson, Christina Harward, and Frederick W. Kagan with Nate Trotter.

See the original here.