ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian forces continue to make marginal territorial gains east of Novopavlivka as Russian forces attempt to advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and toward the settlement from three tactical directions.
  • Ukrainian forces continue to conduct long-range strikes against Russia’s defense industrial base.
  • Ukraine and Russia conducted a fourth round of prisoner of war (POWs) exchanges on June 14, in accordance with the June 2 Ukrainian-Russian bilateral talks in Istanbul.
  • Ukrainian forces advanced near Novopavlivka. Russian forces advanced near Toretsk and Novopavlivka.

Authors: Angelica Evans, Olivia Gibson, Daria Novikov, Jessica Sobieski, and Kateryna Stepanenko with Nate Trotter.

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