ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 12, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russia launched another large-scale drone and missile strike against Ukraine on the night of July 11 to 12 — the third combined strike with over 500 drones and missiles in July alone.
  • Russian forces recently advanced from the international border toward Velykyi Burluk in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast — likely in an effort to connect Russian operations near Vovchansk with those near Dvorichna, possibly to facilitate Russian efforts to establish a buffer zone along the international border.
  • Ukraine signed several strategic agreements with Western defense companies to bolster Ukraine’s defense industrial base (DIB) during the Ukraine Recovery Conference in Rome.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk. Russian forces recently advanced near Novopavlivka.

Authors: Angelica Evans, Jennie Olmsted, Olivia Gibson, Anna Harvey, Jessica Sobieski, and Frederick W. Kagan.

See the original here.