- Russian Ground Forces (RGF) likely seized between 450 and 500 sq km of Ukrainian territory in August 2025, a moderate decrease from the approximately 500-550 sq km taken in July 2025, and the approximately 550-600 sq km taken in June 2025. This follows month on month increases from March 2025 to June 2025.
- It is likely that counter attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the vicinity of Pokrovsk, Kupiansk and Sumy contributed to the moderate reduction in the rate of Russian territorial gains in August 2025.
- RGF continue to use modified tactics, having moved from utilising mass to achieve territorial gain, to attacking with small infantry assault groups supported by artillery, glide bombs, and uncrewed aerial systems. This has likely contributed to the reported reduction in Russian monthly casualty {killed and wounded) rates, whilst high operational tempo is maintained across the frontline, and steady territorial gains continue to be made.
- Despite month on month decreases in Russia’s recorded casualty rates since March 2025, Russia’s significant losses continue. Russia has likely sustained approximately 300,000 casualties in the conflict so far in 2025, and approximately 1,080,000 casualties since launching the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.