Czechs finished voting on Saturday in a general election in which the party of self-described “Trumpist” billionaire Andrej Babiš is a frontrunner, triggering concerns about Prague’s support for Ukraine and its future ties with the European Union.
A return to power by the ex-premier could draw the Czech Republic – an ally of Ukraine – closer to EU black sheep Hungary and Slovakia which have refused military aid to Ukraine and oppose sanctions on Russia.
The election results were expected to be announced later Saturday.
Babiš, 71, is campaigning on pledges of welfare and halting military aid to Ukraine.
Many voters blame the center-right coalition government of Prime Minister Petr Fiala for ignoring domestic problems in their country of 11 million people while providing aid to Ukraine.
Babiš’s ANO (“Yes”) party topped opinion polls with support exceeding 30 percent, ahead of Fiala’s Together grouping with about 20 percent.
“Past or future”
Describing himself as a “peacemonger” calling for a truce in Ukraine, Babiš has vowed a “Czechs first” approach and “a better life for all Czechs” – echoing US President Donald Trump.
When he was prime minister from 2017 to 2021, Babiš was critical of some EU policies and is on good terms with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Slovakia’s Robert Fico, who have maintained ties with Moscow despite its invasion of Ukraine.
Bemoaning high energy prices, 60-year-old administrative worker and ANO voter Boris Lucansky told AFP in Prague he expected the next government to “make some changes that will benefit the people”.
Retired university teacher Bedrich Ludvik said he was worried about the future Czech foreign policy if Babiš wins.
“I’m a European, I’m a Westerner, I don’t want to go east,” he said. “I’m afraid that Babiš and his ilk will pull us eastward. I wouldn’t like that.”
Fiala, a 61-year-old former political science professor, said after casting his ballot that the vote was “deciding the direction of the Czech Republic... whether we head into the past or into the future”.
“Pro-Russian propaganda”
An analyst at Charles University, Josef Mlejnek, told AFP he did not expect “a fundamental change” if Babiš wins.
“Babiš is a pragmatic businessman and the only thing he cares about is being prime minister,” he added.
Petr Just, an analyst at the Metropolitan University in Prague, told AFP a government led by Babiš might use harsher rhetoric towards Brussels.
“We can remain members of the EU and NATO, just like Slovakia or Hungary, but we hear very harsh, sharp, critical rhetoric from these countries,” he said.
“I would certainly not rule out that we will witness some rhetorical questioning of certain Western steps or actions that the West will take,” added Just.
If Babiš’s party comes first but fails to win a majority, he could try to pursue a coalition with the far-right Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD), which is expected to gain about 12 percent, according to surveys.
Czech President Petr Pavel, who will tap the next premier under the constitution, said he would start talks with the elected party heads on Sunday.
A group of analysts said last week that Czech-language accounts on TikTok reaching millions of viewers “systematically spread pro-Russian propaganda and support anti-system parties through manipulated engagement.”
The European Commission held an “emergency meeting” with TikTok on Thursday, “in the context of the Czech elections”, after which the social media platform removed “several bots,” commission spokesperson Thomas Regnier said.