ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 3, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian forces continue to advance in the Pokrovsk direction and appear to be operating with increasing comfort within Pokrovsk itself.
  • Ukrainian forces continue defensive efforts and counterattacks in the Pokrovsk direction.
  • Ukrainian forces have liberated a significant portion of the Russian penetration in the Dobropillya direction on the eastern flank of the Pokrovsk effort.
  • Ukrainian efforts to cut off the Russian salient east of Dobropillya are likely generating tactical effects on Russian efforts to encircle the Ukrainian pocket near Pokrovsk.
  • Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev reiterated the Kremlin’s objective of taking control of all of Ukraine.
  • Ukraine’s European allies provided Ukraine with long-range missiles and air defense systems.
  • Authorities reported more unidentified drone sightings near German airports.
  • Ukrainian forces advanced near Kupyansk. Russian forces advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast, near Siversk and Pokrovsk, and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.

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