ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 18, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian forces are struggling to focus on a single decisive objective in the Pokrovsk direction and instead continue simultaneous attempts to close the encirclement of the wider Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad pocket while also attacking within both towns.
  • Russian forces are trying to employ their new offensive template in the Siversk and Slovyansk-Lyman directions to set conditions for an advance on Ukraine’s Fortress Belt from the northeast and east.
  • Russian military commanders continue to order Russian forces to commit war crimes on the battlefield.
  • Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted an ATACMS missile strike against military targets within Russia.
  • Ukraine continues to collaborate with its European partners on the joint production of interceptor drones.
  • Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of November 15 to 16 that appeared to target the regional headquarters of major Ukrainian broadcasters.
  • Polish officials attributed the recent sabotage attacks against a Polish railway to Russian security services.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces recently advanced in Pokrovsk and in the Dobropillya tactical area.

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