ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 12, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Ukrainian forces continue to advance within and near Kupyansk, and more details have emerged about the counteroffensive effort.
  • Ukrainian forces began counteroffensive operations in September 2025 after relatively rapid Russian advances in the Kupyansk direction and infiltrations into Kupyansk itself.
  • Russian forces launched 495 total missiles and drones against Ukraine overnight on December 12 to 13, heavily targeting energy infrastructure across the country.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that he will hold discussions regarding a peace settlement with US and European delegations in Berlin in the coming days.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kupyansk and Lyman directions. Russian forces recently advanced in the Lyman direction.

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