ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 5, 2026

War in Ukraine - Latest update, key takeaways, and map from the Institute for the Study of War on January 5, 2026.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russia is modifying its Shahed long-range strike drones to target Ukrainian aircraft as part of a wider effort to innovate and maximize long-range drone capabilities.
  • Russian forces struck a hospital in Kyiv City and an American-owned enterprise in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast during missile and long-range drone strikes overnight on January 4 to 5.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced further personnel changes within the Ukrainian government and security services on January 5.
  • European authorities are investigating deliberate damage to undersea cables in the Baltic Sea for the second time since December 31.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kupyansk direction. Russian forces recently advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.

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