British Defence Intelligence Update Ukraine 14 January 2026

Latest from the British Defence Intelligence.

  • Russia likely sustained approximately 415,000 casualties (killed and wounded in the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2025, the second highest yearly total since launching the illegal, full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. This is a slight decrease from the approximately 430,000 casualties Russia sustained in 2024, the highest yearly total. Russia has likely sustained approximately 1,213,000 casualties overall.
  • The average daily Russian casualty rate during December 2025 was 1,130 according to Ukrainian General Staff reporting, an increase from 1,030 in November 2025, and the fourth consecutive monthly increase. Russia’s average daily casualty rates from August 2025 to December 2025 were the five lowest monthly average rates reported since April 2024.
  • Russia’s monthly casualty rate has risen again in conjunction with increasing advances across the frontline. Russia will highly likely continue to experience high casualty rates over January 2026 with continued dismounted infantry attacks on multiple axes.