ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 21, 2025

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • US officials will meet with Ukrainian officials on January 21 and 22 and with Russian President Vladimir Putin on January 22 to continue peace negotiations.
  • The Kremlin remains committed to its original war aims and is not publicly showing any new willingness to commit to meaningful compromises to end its war against Ukraine.
  • Reports of the draft list of the top United Russia candidates for the September 2026 State Duma elections have reportedly generated internal Kremlin discussions that not only reflect factional maneuvering to gain power but also show the Kremlin’s concern about the Russian public’s attitude toward a protracted war.
  • The United States seized another oil tanker involved with shipping sanctioned Russian oil off the coast of Venezuela.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces recently advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

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