ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 30, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • The Kremlin disagreed with the US position that territorial control of Donetsk Oblast remains the only unresolved issue at the US-Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations.
  • The Kremlin acknowledged and reportedly agreed to US President Donald Trump’s request for a temporary moratorium on striking Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
  • Russian forces continue to execute Ukrainian prisoners-of-war (POW) on the battlefield in violation of international law.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman, in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
  • The Kremlin disagreed with the US position that territorial control of Donetsk Oblast remains the only unresolved issue at the US-Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations.
  • The Kremlin acknowledged and reportedly agreed to US President Donald Trump’s request for a temporary moratorium on striking Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
  • Russian forces continue to execute Ukrainian prisoners-of-war (POW) on the battlefield in violation of international law.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman, in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

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