ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 11, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • The Kremlin is likely setting informational conditions to expand Russian demands of Ukraine and NATO by making it clear that its current demands are no longer sufficient.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted a Storm Shadow cruise missile strike against a critical Russian microchip manufacturing plant in Bryansk City on March 10.
  • The Kremlin attempted to downplay the significance of the Ukrainian strike against the Kremniy El factory.
  • The Kremlin’s efforts to downplay and misrepresent the Ukrainian strike against the Kremniy El factory sparked backlash among Russian ultranationalist milbloggers, however.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Germany delivered an unspecified number of PAC-3 interceptors for Patriot air defense systems on March 10.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Oleksandrivka, and Hulyaipole, and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.
  • Ukrainian forces likely struck a chemical plant in Russia. Russian forces launched 99 drones against Ukraine, including in Kharkiv City.

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