British Defence Intelligence Update Ukraine 13 March 2026
Latest from the British Defence Intelligence.
- Russia has responded to the conflict in the Middle East by promoting the idea it is a global peacemaker, heavily condemning strikes in the region, and deflecting from its own inaction as a partner of Iran.
- There is only a remote chance the conflict will have a direct impact on Russia’s ability to conduct the war in Ukraine. Since 2024, Russia’s dependence on Iranian uncrewed aerial systems has almost certainly declined as Russia has expanded its own domestic production.
- So far, Russia has provided Iran with political, diplomatic, and humanitarian support. It has also used its position in international forums, such as the UN Security Council, to influence decision-making and provide soft-power support to Iran.
- Whilst the conflict continues, Russian government oil revenues will almost certainly increase in response to the rising global prices and reduced discounts on Russian oil, as buyers have access to fewer alternative suppliers. This will almost certainly provide Russia a short-term boost and greater capacity to fund the war in Ukraine. The impact of increased oil prices will depend on how long price rises are sustained for.