ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Officials in Russian regions that the Kremlin has historically sought to shield from the effects of the war in Ukraine are beginning to acknowledge the impacts of Ukrainian long-range drone strikes in the Russian rear.
  • Russian state polls are acknowledging growing societal discontent with Russian President Vladimir Putin against the backdrop of mounting war sacrifices and an unpopular censorship campaign.
  • Russian seaborne oil exports have reportedly fallen following an escalation in Ukraine’s long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure and ports.
  • Ukrainian forces reportedly successfully operated a Sting interceptor drone at a range of 2,000 kilometers amid continued technical innovations to combat Russia’s long-range drone campaign.
  • Ukraine continues to conclude joint production agreements with German defense industrial companies to support Ukraine’s air defense capabilities by expanding joint production efforts.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Slovyansk and in the Dobropillya tactical area.
  • Russian forces launched 172 long-range drones and one missile against Ukraine. Ukrainian forces continued their strike campaign against military assets in Russian border oblasts.

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