ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 7, 2026

War in Ukraine - Latest update, key takeaways and map from the Institute for the Study of War on August 7, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly had a phone call on August 6 with the commander of a Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) division, indicating that Russian forces are prioritizing advances in the Pokrovsk and Dobropillya directions with the intent of encircling Ukraine’s Fortress Belt from the southwest.
  • The Russian timelines for the completion of this wide envelopment are extremely unrealistic, however.
  • Putin’s call with the 76th Guards VDV Division commander is likely also a response to emerging accusations that he is out of touch with the battlefield reality in Ukraine.
  • Ukraine’s intermediate-range strike campaign against the Russian rear, along with Ukrainian tactical drone overmatch on the frontline, are slowing down Russian operational tempo across the frontline.
  • An improvised explosive device (IED) explosion in central Moscow City on August 1 reportedly killed Russian Major General Valery Plokhotnyuk.
  • The US Senate passed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia Act of 2026, which imposes 100% tariffs on US imports from the five largest importers of Russian crude oil and natural gas, among other provisions, on August 7.
  • Russian forces recently advanced in the Novopavlivka and Oleksandrivka directions.  
  • Russia launched 147 drones against Ukraine overnight.  

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