“With moderately favorable weather conditions the harvest could be at least around 83 million tonnes, with good weather – 95 million tonnes and more and with poor weather the harvest could be 75 million tonnes,” Pavensky told Interfax.
However, “it is still very early to draw conclusions about the harvest,” he added.
The winter cereals crop area (without green fodder winter crops) will probably be around 16.4 million hectares, which is almost 700,000 hectares more than in 2011 for the 2012 harvest. This was the crop area available for the record 2008 harvest, when official figures put the harvest at 108.2 million tonnes of grain and experts said around 104 million tonnes was harvested. The amount of crops ruined by frost was below average at the time – 900,000 hectares, compared to 1.7 million in 2012.