“The likelihood of a repeat of the flooding of 1931 is estimated as once every 200 years and that of 1970 once every hundred years. But these estimates were made before the climate began to change. Now, the flood statistics does not work, as it was obtained in the 20th century, but we live in the 21st century. We need to anticipate new climate conditions for the next hundred years and determine what flash floods could be expected. Flash floods can happen once every hundred years, but some districts in Kyiv are hit by floods once every 20 years. We need to clearly say what places could be closed to prevent flooding. Latest calculations of this kind were made in 1980, when there was a different topography, and there was no Obolon,” he said at a press conference in Kyiv on Wednesday.
Zhelezniak said that during extreme floods the dams constructed on very narrow concrete places would prevent flooding in certain parts of the city. He noted that Rusanivka gardens would be flooded even in case of a repeat of a small flood of 1970, because the dam there is unfinished and there are a lot of such places in the city.
Ukraine’s chief meteorologist, Mykola Kulbida, in turn, noted that the institute had helped develop a special model that takes into account the topography, depth, movement of water along the river and reservoirs and that this makes it possible to most accurately identify the most hazardous areas that could be under the threat of flooding.