Overall, 47 percent of registered voters said they planned to back Obama and Vice President Joe Biden in November while 46 percent favored Romney and Ryan. That’s a statistical tie not much changed from an AP-GfK survey in June, when the split was 47 percent for the president to 44 percent for Romney.
At the same time, there’s a far wider gap when people were asked who they thought would win. Some 58 percent of adults said they expected Obama to be re-elected, while just 32 percent said they thought he’d be voted out of office.
Obama’s approval rating held steady at about an even split, with 49 percent saying they approve of the way he’s handling his job and another 49 percent saying they disapprove.