Yes, Ukraine would still become independent if the Ukrainians had to make the choice now. That’s the good news. But the bad news is only just, and the number of supporters of independence continues to go down.

A July poll, conducted by Razumkov Center, a private think tank, showed that only 56 percent of the respondents would support independence. Those who would vote against now constitute 20.7 percent of the population, up by nearly 3 percent from last year.

Figures from their colleagues, Rating Group, are somewhat more optimistic. Their August poll showed that 61 percent of Ukrainians would vote for independence and 28 percent would not. This is still much less that 90.3 percent who supported independence at the Dec. 1, 1991 referendum. 

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