is further evidence of the shift westward, and I guess reflects a combination
of factors, including:
* A bias amongst the main oligarchic groups to a westward orientation,
given they play and invest personal assets in European capitals, educate their
kids over here, and see their businesses as being more focused now on global
markets, than say on Russia.
An irritation over what they perceive as Russian bullying tactics, and a
patronising approach from Russian business/political elites towards Ukraine –
perhaps never really accepting of Ukrainian independence. There is a sense that
joining the CIS Customs Union would inevitably mean domination by Russian
business interests – they are looking nervously at developments in neighbouring
Belarus. Ukrainian oligarchs likely see themselves as relatively big fish in a
medium sized pool in Ukraine, whereas they would likely be small fish in a huge
pool in a CIS market.