So far, US President Donald Trump’s Russia policy remains a mystery. Does he want to set in motion a US-Russia rapprochement? If so, sanctions against Russia may be increasingly difficult to sustain. The Trump administration might judge Ukraine’s security and territorial integrity to be a bothersome yet insufficient impediment to mending fences with Putin and, glossing over Russia’s annexation of Crimea and invasion of eastern Ukraine, reduce or even lift all sanctions and resume business as usual.

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