While the war in Donbas in Eastern Ukraine is slowly turning into a frozen conflict, the socio-political situation in Ukraine is entering a phase of calm, with short-term prospects for political upheavals and popular discontent present but rather low. Yet longer-term evolutions do not bode well for the stability of the country, as several factors need to be taken into consideration.
Could early parliamentary elections take place in the coming months?
Everyone in politics agree that the Rada needs to be relaunched in order to take in the recent political evolutions. However, only Yulia Tymoshenko’s party Fatherland (BuYT) and the Opposition Bloc, to a lesser extent, are currently pushing for the organization of early parliamentary elections. Only the BuYT is today adamantly sure to score higher than the 2014 elections: according to a recent poll from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS), Fatherland would come in first with 15.4 percent of the votes. Nevertheless, about 60 percent of voters are still undecided – but the tendency is there.
