You're reading: Ukraine’s Reform Drive Is Powering Ahead, EM Investors Should Take Note

Ukraine has made tremendous progress with its reform agenda but must accelerate the implementation process to compete with other emerging economies.

Speakers at the 3rd annual Ukrainian Financial Forum praised the scale of reform that has been accomplished over the past three years in Ukraine. However all agreed it is crucial to accelerate the implementation of reforms to spur economic growth and pave the way for official membership of the EU.

ICU, an independent asset management firm specialising in Central and Eastern Europe, gathered leaders from Ukraine’s political, financial and business worlds alongside international decision makers at its annual forum to discuss the progress of reform in Ukraine.  Speakers included Yanis Varoufakis, economist and former finance minister of Greece, Markus Brunnermeier, Professor of Economics at Princeton University, Ukraine’s Finance Minister Oleksandr Danylyuk, Satu Kahkonen, the World Bank Country Director for Belarus, Moldova, and Ukraine, Francis Malige, Managing Director, Eastern Europe and the Caucasus at EBRD and Jonathan David Ostry, Deputy Director of Research at the IMF.

Makar Paseniuk, Managing Partner, ICU
Photo by CONSTANTINE VAN HORNE
Konstantin Stetsenko, Managing Partner, ICU
Photo by CONSTANTINE VAN HORNE
Jonathan David Ostry, Deputy Director of the Research Department, IMF
Anne McElvoy, Senior Editor of The Economist, head of the Economist Radio; Yanis Varoufakis, former Finance Minister of Greece; Markus Brunnermeier, Professor of Economics, Princeton University, Director of the Bendheim Center for Finance
Photo by CONSTANTINE VAN HORNE
Engin Akçakoca, former Chairman of Banking Regulation & Supervision Agency, Savings Deposit Insurance Fund of Turkey
Satu Kahkonen, Country Director for Belarus, Moldova, and Ukraine, World Bank
Francis Malige, Managing Director, Eastern Europe and the Caucasus, EBRD
Kateryna Rozhkova, Deputy Governor, National Bank of Ukraine; Lajos Bokros, Professor at the CEU, former Minister of Finance of Hungary
Yanis Varoufakis, former Finance Minister of Greece, DiEM25 co-founder

Makar Paseniuk, Managing Partner at ICU, said:

“Ukraine needs foreign direct investment, it is crucial for the country’s future prosperity. We need to create a healthier backdrop and a more positive agenda if we are going to generate interest and build confidence from foreign investors that Ukraine is an emerging market that they should not ignore.

“Ukraine has made remarkable progress in a short period of time however it still has a long way to go. It is important that the government forges ahead and accelerates the reform process. This will be a powerful signal to the investors waiting on the sidelines nervous about corruption, transparency and legal protection.”

A series of panel discussions and presentations from experienced industry experts provided unique insights into the most pertinent themes surrounding reform in Ukraine.

 

On the pace of the reform agenda:

  • Panelists acknowledged the significant progress of Ukraine’s reform but agreed the pace of implementation needs to accelerate – the country is not even halfway through planned reforms and is considerably behind countries which it seeks to view as its peers
  • Returning to the Eurobond market is undoubtedly a very positive sign, but the market will immediately close in the event of a roll back of reforms

 

On anti-corruption measures

  • Panelists agreed some progress has been made tackling corruption, especially in state procurement and the gas sector
  • However, legal and court system reform remains one of Ukraine’s biggest challenges. If this problem is not solved attracting outside investment will be impossible as investors need to feel confident that their rights will be protected
  • Unrelenting talk about corruption in the domestic and international media is killing outside investor interest in Ukraine

 

On land reform

  • Panelists identified land reform as a primary concern for Ukraine – it is one of only two countries on the European continent that do not have a functioning land market
  • Land reform is extremely important as it would boost productivity in Ukraine’s agricultural sector which is central to exports

 

On the privatization of state owned assets

  • Panelists agreed privatization of key industries will be a powerful signal for investors who are still waiting on the side lines, hesitant to invest in Ukraine
  • A number of important transformations have already taken place in the energy sector but more needs to be done – the potential volume of capital to be raised from the sale of state owned land is estimated at $15-20 billion

 

About ICU

ICU (www.icu.ua) is an independent asset management, private equity and investment advisory firm specialising in the emerging markets of Central and Eastern Europe.

Founded in 2006 by senior investment professionals from ING, ICU is Ukraine’s leading asset manager. ICU currently manages over $400m in assets. Since 2010 ICU’s flagship CIS Opportunities Fund has delivered returns exceeding 16 percent per year, net of fees, versus less than 1% annual returns for the HFRI Emerging Markets Russia/Eastern Europe Index over the same period.

ICU’s veteran investment team has experience in private equity, high yield corporate debt, distressed debt, restructurings and other special situations across a number of emerging markets. Investment decisions are supported by robust macroeconomic and sectoral analyses from the in-house team of research economists.

ICU aims to provide its clients with superior risk-adjusted returns across a number of asset classes. The firm is expanding its reach into key European markets via a combination of organic growth and acquisition and continues to expand the range its investment offerings.

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