Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian forces are currently unable to build out a strategic reserve and will therefore likely be constrained to grinding, slow advances at their current rate and scale in the coming year.
  • Russian forces conducted another large-scale combined missile and drone strike against Ukrainian critical infrastructure overnight on December 26 and 27, primarily targeting Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast.
  • A high-ranking Kremlin official explicitly stated that Russia will not deviate from its war demands “one bit.”
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) is intensifying its efforts to cover up recent Russian failures in Kupyansk amid ongoing widespread criticism from Russian milbloggers.
  • There is ample evidence to indicate that Ukrainian forces have liberated most of Kupyansk, however.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet with Western partners ahead of his December 28 meeting with US President Donald Trump in Florida.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk. Russian forces recently advanced near Hulyaipole.

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