ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 21, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky dismissed Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi and appointed the Ukrainian Joint Forces Task Force Commander Major General Mykhailo Drapatyi as his replacement late on July 21.
• Russian authorities continue costly efforts to mitigate the loss of Russian oil refining capacity due to Ukrainian long-range strikes by subsidizing diesel imports.
• The Russian government continues exerting legal pressure on Russian migrants likely to coerce migrants into military service under threat of deportation.
• Polish authorities continue warning of a possible Russian provocation against NATO’s eastern flank.
• Ukrainian forces struck Russian manufacturing infrastructure and military assets overnight on July 20 and 21. Russia launched 58 drones against Ukraine overnight.  
• Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Oleksandrivka direction and in northern Kharkiv Oblast.

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