While the effort by The Wagner PMCs founder, Prigozhin, to march on Moscow has ended, the subsequent shockwaves are still reverberating inside Russia, with some experts, speaking to the Kyiv Post, saying that it could lead to the end of the Putin Regime.

Mark N. Katz, a professor of international relations at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia told the Kyiv Post that, “the Prigozhin adventure has definitely rattled the Kremlin. Putin had built Prigozhin up as a rival to the Defense Ministry and seemed to relish Prigozhin's criticisms of the generals. I don't think Putin expected anything like this from him, or that the regular armed forces would do so little to stop him.”

could be interesting for you:

If “a guy with as many enemies as Prigozhin could get as far as he did, Putin must wonder what a general with a lot of strong contacts with the [Ministry of Defense] could do,” proffered Katz.

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The situation is so bad in Russia that former British Prime Minister Liz Truss, while speaking in the British Parliament, last week, said that London needs a strategy in the event that Russia suddenly implodes.

Truss emphasized that the UK and “our allies - including the Ukrainians, including the Poles, including the Baltic states - need to make sure that we have a plan in the case of the implosion of Russia,” according to the BBC.

But does Putin himself think that the situation is grave?

Eric Shiraev, a political psychologist who has studied Russian political leaders says that Putin may not have the full picture as to how bad the situation is as, “after 23 years in power, [Putin] has an increasingly limited access to information, for he gets what he wants to hear."

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The 70-year-old, a key figure of the Nobel Prize-winning Memorial group, is the latest target of Kremlin repression, which has intensified since the offensive in Ukraine.

He adds: "He does not want to hear bad news (and his associates know this too). This is a problem with all world leaders, yet in democracies the availability of information is much greater, compared to autocracies.”

Former Russian intelligence officer Igor Girkin (Strelkov), who helped invade Ukraine in 2014 said that Putin's reaction to the Prigozhin challenge to his presidency was so poorly executed that “another rebellion is not far off. We only need to wait for another defeat at the front and the rebellion will begin.”

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Girkin noted: “It does not matter who starts the revolt - now no one will resist against the Rebellion. Nobody at all,” adding: “It makes no sense risking your life defending such a useless and miserable government.”

Recent statements by Putin about the Russian Army's successes in the war were said to have shocked some Russian military bloggers who detected that the alleged “accomplishments” did not match-up with what they had seen on the battlefield.

Prigozhin himself had denied Moscow's earlier claims that Leopard tanks had been “destroyed or captured,” saying that it was simply not true.

Despite a widening circle of Russians who understand that Russia has not had some of the successes it has claimed publicly, on Monday, Minister of Defense Shoigu stated that Russia had destroyed 16 Leopard Tanks, or “100% of those donated by Poland and Portugal,” a fact that has been ridiculed by pro-Ukrainian and Western news sources.

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Shiraev sees the inner-sanctum of Putin's world now, understanding that “the end of the road” is approaching and is preparing for how they and their families will escape, whereas others in Putin's orbit “are in a state of denial.”

So why would Putin continue to believe these fantasies?  Shiraev speculates: “Putin's mind resembles a powerful delusion. The problem with delusions is that the patients strongly deny that they have a delusion.

He adds: "People with emotional problems clearly understand that they have a problem.”

So, how does this all play-out?

Katz says: “It is now more likely that ‘something momentous’ could happen in Russia. I think that the most likely scenario is that soldiers stop fighting, as in the First World War.”

He concudes that this is something which “could precipitate a coup (if Putin has flown the coop first).”

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Comments (6)

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Raf
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Read this paper and could not learn anything that has not been said over and over again. I was expecting more.

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Imokru2
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Ukraine now has Russia in a vice and is tightening it one cog at a time.
The Russian government is lying and citizens on the street are now beginning to see it.
It is very difficult to see what will happen in Russia, but it is a certainty that it cannot win this war.
Putin is near the end of his Czar-like rule, and he has set the country backward by a generation.
Momentous events will happen sooner than many people think. A new Russian strongman will withdraw from the Ukrainian mainland and try to hang on to Crimea.
It won’t work in the long term.
China is appalled and wondering what kind of “friend” it now has.

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Freddie
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Send in the frog men take him out

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Vict walker
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He is a megalomaniac who actually believes that he is 'special' A sort of superior being ! . The problem with unbalanced thought is that if he is faced with failure , he may think that if I can have the Ukraine , then nobody can have the Ukraine and used this as a justification to launch a nuclear war

vik
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@Vict walker,

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vik
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@Vict walker, lol! it's not like that, because when he faced the possibility of losing Russia, he just ran away. And after that he did not even punish the rebels

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Freddie
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He lacks empathy otherwise he wouldn't target civilians. He's a broken man doesn't live in reality. I mean wouldn't make more sense to trade with the west and prosper why start a war in Europe for what? You can't make sense of crazy.

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MJ
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Sounds exactly like Adolf Hitler's mind, maybe Poot'en has a visit planned to his underground shelter in the near future...

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