- The current conflict between Israel and Iran presents Russia with challenges and opportunities.
- Russia is under no formal obligation to provide Iran with any military assistance in its conflict with Israel. The Russia-Iran Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement signed in January 2025 covers cooperation across a range of areas including, defence and security, but does not include a mutual-defence clause. This is in contrast with Russia’s agreements with both the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Belarus.
- Russia almost certainly perceives some benefit in the conflict as it distracts international focus from its war against Ukraine.
- However, the conflict will likely negatively impact the future provision of Iranian military equipment to Russia. Iran has supplied significant quantities of one-way attack uncrewed aerial systems (OWA UAS|, provided extensive support to Russian OWA UAS domestic production, and supplied ballistic missiles and artillery munitions in support of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 19 June 2025.
— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) June 19, 2025
Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: https://t.co/U9HZW5XZyG#StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/cFeXwzokiF
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