ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 2025

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• US President Donald Trump called for the United States to resume tests of its nuclear weapons, likely in response to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ostentatious announcements of recent tests of Russian nuclear weapons.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced a unilateral micro-ceasefire near Kupyansk and Pokrovsk but provided no clarity on the timing of the micro-ceasefire.
• Ukrainian military sources continued to provide details about the difficult situation in the Pokrovsk pocket.
• The Kremlin is activating plans to use active reservists to protect infrastructure in the Russian rear.
• Russian forces conducted a large-scale series of missile and drone strikes including over 700 projectiles against Ukraine on the night of October 29 to 30.
• Polish fighters intercepted a Russian reconnaissance aircraft over the Baltic Sea for the second time in three days.
• Ukrainian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast. Russian forces advanced near Siversk, Pokrovsk, and Hulyaipole.

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