ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Ukraine’s operational and strategic ability to inflict mounting costs on Russia is generating increasing anxiety in the Russian ultranationalist information space.
• Ukraine continues to offer concessions and demonstrate its willingness to negotiate with Russia even as Russian officials reject Ukraine’s attempts to establish a negotiating position short of Ukrainian capitulation.
• Ukraine’s European allies continue to provide military aid to Ukraine, including through bolstering Ukraine’s indigenous defense production.
• Ukrainian forces advanced near Slovyansk and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area. Russian forces advanced near Hulyaipole, in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
• Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes against the Russian defense industrial base (DIB).  Russian forces launched 164 drones and one missile against Ukraine.

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