ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on June 25 that he had authorized a 40-day intermediate- and long-range strike campaign to influence Russia to end the war in Ukraine.
• Crimean occupation officials declared a state of emergency in occupied Crimea amid Ukraine’s intensifying intermediate- and long-range strike campaign targeting logistics into the region.
• The Ukrainian strike campaigns are causing fuel shortages, water supply issues, and a widespread exodus from the occupied peninsula.
• Russian officials continue to project a facade of stability and control over the Russian economy amid intensifying country-wide gasoline shortages.
• Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov deflected blame onto the United States for the lack of a written agreement following the bilateral August 2025 Alaska Summit.
• Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian industrial infrastructure on the night of June 25 to 26. Russian forces launched seven Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 189 drones against Ukraine overnight.
• Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

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