ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Belarusian signal repeaters along the Belarusian-Ukrainian border reportedly ceased operations as of June 22 following Ukrainian President Volodmyr Zelensky’s warning that Belarus must disable the repeaters no later than June 26.
• The Kremlin is intensifying pressure on Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to expand Belarusian involvement in Russia’s war against Ukraine. Lukashenko continues trying to resist the Kremlin’s demands while maintaining Russia’s approval.
• High-ranking Kremlin officials continue to reiterate Russia’s unwillingness to negotiate directly with Ukraine and assert Russia’s commitment to its original maximalist war aims.
• Russian authorities are implementing measures to combat intensifying gasoline shortages in Moscow City amid growing domestic gasoline and aviation fuel shortages in Russia.
• Russian forces recently marginally advanced in the Oleksandrivka direction.
• Ukrainian forces struck Russian gas processing infrastructure in Orenburg Oblast overnight on June 23 to 24. Russian forces launched 101 drones against Ukraine overnight.

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