ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 22, 2025

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Russian officials and state media continue to set information conditions to reject the US-proposed 28-point peace plan, indicating that the Kremlin is actively conditioning the Russian people to not accept anything less than a full victory in Ukraine.
• Ukrainian, American, and European delegations will meet on November 23 to discuss the US-proposed peace plan to end the war.
• Ukrainian military officials continue to indicate that Ukrainian forces are pushing back Russian efforts to seize Kupyansk — in contrast to repeated Russian claims of seizing the town.
• The situation in the Pokrovsk direction remains serious and dynamic as Russian forces continue attempts to seize Pokrovsk itself and encircle Ukrainian forces in Myrnohrad (east of Pokrovsk).
• Authorities recently reported multiple drone sightings over air bases and airports in the Netherlands.
• Ukrainian forces reportedly recently downed at least 19 Kinzhal ballistic missiles with electronic warfare (EW), likely in response to Ukraine’s Patriot air defense interceptor missile shortages and Russian Kinzhal modifications.
• Russian forces are continuing to commit war crimes on the battlefield in Ukraine, particularly near Pokrovsk.
• Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Siversk and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area. Russian forces recently advanced near Siversk.

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