Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • The US Coast Guard seized two oil tankers with links to Russia for attempting to bypass US sanctions against Venezuelan oil.
  • US, Ukrainian, and Coalition of the Willing officials continued talks in Paris on January 7, and details of the potential security guarantees for Ukraine are beginning to emerge.
  • Russian forces are likely unable to simultaneously replace losses suffered in Ukraine and build out their strategic reserves.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kharkiv and Pokrovsk directions. Russian forces recently advanced in Sumy Oblast and in the Hulyaipole direction.

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