Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian drones struck a maternity hospital and a bus carrying miners on February 1, causing significant civilian casualties.
  • The Kremlin continues to use issues unrelated to its war in Ukraine to push the Trump administration to give in to Russia’s demands regarding Ukraine.
  • Insider reports continue to demonstrate that Russia is trying to portray itself to external audiences as a willing negotiator in order to gain control over all of Donetsk Oblast through diplomatic means.
  • SpaceX CEO Elon Musk restricted Starlink satellite terminals operating in Ukraine in order to counter Russia’s use of Starlink on drones.
  • Russia is building up military infrastructure near the Finnish border, likely as part of wider military expansion efforts that seek to prepare the Russian force for a potential future conflict with NATO.
  • Belarus appears to be increasing the quantity and frequency of Belarusian balloon incursions into Polish and Lithuanian airspace.
  • Several unidentified drones flew over German military infrastructure on February 1.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Slovyansk.

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