• Ukrainian offensive operations continue to place pressure on Russian forces both in the north-east and in Kherson Oblast in the south.
  • However, Russia continues to give high priority to its own offensive operations in the central Donbas sector, especially near the town of Bakhmut.
  • Over the last week Russian forces have advanced up to 2km towards the town on two axes, coming closer to breaking into Bakhmut, which has suffered very extensive damage from shelling.
  • These forces have likely included Wagner private military company units, including personnel recently recruited from Russian prisons.
  • Russia’s continued efforts to progress its grinding Donbas offensive, in the face of serious threats on its operational flanks highlight the imperative to deliver operational success while also underlining the inflexible operational design which has undermined its plans thus far.
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