Estonia’s General Staff says that Ukrainian troops may make significant progress in the counteroffensive before winter as they have an advantage over Russian forces in long-range artillery, precision strikes, and good combat intelligence.

According to the Estonia Defense Forces, Ukraine’s military knows how to make use of these strengths to make a possible strategic breakthrough, although Russia’s dug-in status is slowing down the advance.

During an appearance on Estonian National Broadcasting on Monday, August 7, Colonel Mart Wendla, Deputy Chief of Estonia’s Defense Forces General Staff, said “they certainly have a chance” to make a breakthrough by winter.

Wendla highlighted the uneven defense along the 1,000-kilometer front line but said the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) excel in detecting breaches in Russia’s defenses, displaying superior training in small unit tactics, delivering precise fire strikes, and possessing better intelligence.

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Nevertheless, the Estonian General Staff representative noted that Russian forces considerably fortified their defenses after their withdrawal from Kherson.

“While other regions have an average of 400 defense facilities per region, Zaporizhzhia has 1,400. This shows the depth of the defense structure. Ukraine’s task is exceptionally challenging in this regard,” he said.

According to Wendla, Russian defensive fortifications include extensive ditches, various minefields, defensive trenches, artillery positions, and reserve areas that will hinder breakthrough attempts.

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Russian commanders simply don’t seem to learn from their mistakes as massing troops in occupied Ukraine are hit by HIMARS missile attacks two days running.

Despite Ukrainian forces not yet breaching the first line of defense, they have achieved modest successes, he said.

“This effort spans a broad scope since Ukraine aims to divert attention in multiple directions. Russia pursues a similar strategy, recognizing the strategic importance of Ukraine's southern direction,” Wendla said.

“Russian activity is noticeable in the northern direction, attempting to tie up forces and prevent reserves from aiding a potential southern breakthrough.”

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Wendla said Ukraine’s recent capability to pose long-range threats to the Russian fleet through drone attacks. He also speculated that the drones targeting Moscow likely launched from within Russia, but the instigators remain unclear.

“Nonetheless, the frequent explosions in Moscow underscore the inadequate structure of Moscow’s air defense system to modern threats,” the colonel said.

The AFU’s counteroffensive began in early June and Ukrainian troops have achieved success in the southeast, reclaiming several settlements.

Still, a portion of the AFU remains on the defensive due to the Russian army’s concentrated efforts in the Lyman-Kupiansk sector.

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Comments (6)

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Daryl Diamond
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Ukraine now has at least 2 bridgeheads across the Dnipro, and is only facing resistance from poorly trained mobliks. Things are starting to get very interesting in the southwest of Kherson.

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David
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I wait for the day that is not very far, when Russian reservists and conscripts collectively realise they have have had enough of this immoral and pointless slaughter and decide to fix the problem themselves, at its source.
First they might attack the barrier troops, then capture air bases and their commanders and then March on Moscow, taking care to deal with Putin’s escape plane on their way in.

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Joseph Swanson
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My nation can and will win only if we are afforded the necessary equipment we have been asking the West for such as F16's for months.
The West often cites "no progress" and "taking too long." The West places unrealistic demands on our military YET will not afford our military the necessary equipment so as to honor their unrealistic demands.
In the mean time, people in the West need to understand wars are not fought and won in hollywood vision where wars are won in thirty minutes or less.

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Joseph Swanson
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Funny how "Beau's" boy lord and savior trump had four years to help Ukraine by offering to train pilots for F16's and did not, could have offered to train Ukrainian soldiers on how to operate M1A1 tanks and did not, could have offered training on artillery and did not, could have offered air defense systems & training and long range missiles and did not.
trump is compromised and controlled by putlin.

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aldol11
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need f16's

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Beau
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Funny how your boy biden slow plays the Ukraine war. Because biden is under the direction and control of China’s Xi ping, biden refuses to give Ukraine the advanced weaponry it needs to win this war by winter. Biden’s refusal to provide strategic weapons ultimately jeopardizes the lives of Ukrainians. Biden is also pressuring other nations to NOT provide the weapons needed as well. biden is compromised by the Chinese and should be questioned by Zelensky as to his allegiances.

David
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@Beau, Biden has demonstrated far more useful collaborative and cooperative actions by EU and NATO to contain and reverse Global Russian aggression and hybrid warfare, not just in Ukraine. In contrast an egocentric psychopathic Trump effortlessly pissed off every EU, NATO and non-NATO Country leader except Putin.
Those outcomes exposed Trumps international political mismanagement skills.
No doubt Biden has been strategically and conceptually mistaken on many of his international dealings, and that includes ongoing fears that enable Putin to intimidate him from a position of weakness. That’s why his groundless fears governing blocking of supply of long range US missiles has already been proven silly by UK and France providing equally long range and harder to intercept cruise missiles that are currently disconnecting Crimea as a logistics route into Kerson.

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