The majority of Poles do not believe Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine will end any time soon, the results of a new poll show.

More than 76% of respondents in a survey by United Surveys for media outlet Wirtualna Polska said they do not think the conflict will end in 2026, with 38.6% opting for “definitely not” and 37.6% choosing “probably not.” 

There were far fewer optimistic answers. Only 5.4% of respondents answered “definitely yes” and 11.5% “probably yes.” 

Slightly less than 8% picked the “I don’t know” or “It’s hard to say” options.  

Survey respondents tended to answer differently depending on their political tendencies, although skeptical views dominated among all groups.  

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Among those who support Poland’s governing coalition, led by Prime Minister Donald Tusk, the number of respondents who believed the war would not end in 2026 was 87%, the highest of all groups.  

Some 73% of those backing the main right-wing opposition felt the same, along with 62% of those who prefer factions outside of the two main parties.  

United Surveys interviewed 1,000 Poles over the age of 18 using online or telephone interviews. 

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