During his whirlwind visits in recent days to several European countries, President Volodymyr Zelensky had a number of important meetings with European leaders. What has passed largely unnoticed, however, is that he also finally met for the first time, albeit briefly, with the leader of the Belarusian opposition Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya.

Their encounter at the awarding of the Charlemagne Prize to the Ukrainian people in the German city of Aachen on May 14 and in the presence of numerous European leaders was potentially of high political significance. Moreover, it occurred when the Belarusian dictator and vassal of Moscow Aleksandr Lukashenko had reportedly been hospitalized fueling speculation about the state of his health and what awaits Belarus in the event of his passing. 

But what might have been a long-awaited public manifestation of solidarity in the fight against a common enemy – autocracy in league with Russian imperialism – did not live up to expectations. And the big question is why? What stands behind Kyiv’s reluctance to recognize the Belarusian opposition as an ally and to make common cause with it?

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On the surface, Tsikhanouskaya, who is widely believed to have won the presidential elections in her country in August 2000, would seem to be a natural ally of Zelensky and Ukraine.

Belarus remains under a repressive regime backed by Moscow. After the harsh crackdown on the Belarusian peaceful democratic revolution triggered by Lukashenko’s rigging of the voting, some 1,500 of her compatriots, including her husband Sergei, remain political prisoners. 

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On Thursday, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk welcomed his counterpart Denys Shmygal to Warsaw, with Ukrainian flags hoisted outside the seat of government.

Lukashenko, propped up Moscow, has openly allowed the Russians to use Belarus as a staging area in its war against Ukraine. He has even declared his readiness to have not only Russian troops, military aircraft and missiles deployed on his territory, but even Moscow’s tactical nuclear weapons.

Many thousands of Belarusians have been forced to leave their country. Some have formed volunteer battalions and continue to fight bravely alongside Ukrainian forces against the Russians. Zelensky himself told Italian journalists and TV viewers while in Rome on May 13 that 70 perecent of the Belarusian population are against Russia and side with Ukraine.

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Yet, for some reason the Zelensky administration has failed to embrace Tsikhanouskaya and the Belarusian opposition and invite their representatives to Kyiv. In the meantime, she and her colleagues are warmly greeted in Western capitals and last year she herself was a co-recipient of the Charlemagne Prize.   

Like Zelensky, Tsikhanouskaya, was a newcomer to politics, catapulted into the Belarusian presidential elections when her husband was arrested after declaring himself a candidate. Consequently, she may have made tactical mistakes in the early stages of her leadership in exile of the opposition by not identifying herself more clearly with Ukraine in its stand-off with Russia, as some Ukrainian commentators stated at the time.

But since Russia launched its all-out war, she has stressed over and over that the patriotic and democratic Belarusian opposition support Ukraine, condemn Lukashenko’s complicity in Russia’s aggression against it, and also see their country’s future as linked with democratic Europe. 

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On the eve of this year’s Charlemagne Prize ceremony, Tsikhanouskaya tweeted: Congratulations to @ZelenskyyUa and the People of Ukraine for being awarded the International Charlemagne Prize Award 2023.

The next day, she tweeted: “I was honored to meet President @ZelenskyyUa today in #Aachen & to congratulate him on this year’s @KarlspreisAC. We stand united with Ukraine…”

In another tweet, she showed her actual handshake with Zelensky, but it is clear from it that the Ukrainian president simply responded as courtesy and protocol demanded and did not engage in any discussion with her.

Tsikhanouskaya’s representatives have since described their encounter as “historic.” Yet what is striking is that in the detailed account of the Charlemagne Prize ceremony published on Zelensky’s official website later that day omits any mention of the meeting with Tsikhanouskaya.

Nor does it mention the president’s meeting at the same event with the wife of another leading Belarusian political prisoner, Veronica Tsepkalo, who was awarded the Charlemagne Prize last year together with Tsikhanouskaya and one other.

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Zelensky actually posed for a photo with her which she published on Twitter adding: Congratulations to President #Zelentski (sic) and all #Ukrainian people with the prestigious #karlspreis2023 for the fight for peace, freedom, democracy and European values. Our hearts and prayers with #Ukraineis (sic) who are going to win this war! #Belarus will also be free.”

So, unless there something going on behind the scenes that we are unaware of, it is high time to also let the Belarusian people know that Ukraine is with them as they seek to free themselves from dictatorship and Moscow’s stranglehold.

The de facto foreign minister in the Belarusian opposition movement headed by Tsikhanouskaya, Pavel Latushka, has reminded Ukraine and the world in an interview for @RaiPortaaPortata that: “…Belarusians are against 🇷🇺 & support Ukraine, Belarusians are fighting… this is also a war.” Without #FreeBelarus, regional security in Europe is not possible. Slava Ukraïni! Žyvie Biełaruś!

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Comments (5)

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Wesley Bruce
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I suspect the fact that Belarusian troops have not attacked Ukraine implies that Zelenskyy has had some successful negotiation with Lukashenko. Part of that may be conditional on Zelenskyy keeping Tsikhanouskaya at a distance. That may be a deal she's in on. It does her no harm.

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Irene
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Zelensky has to be pragmatic. His energies are limited too. He has no time to dilly-dally with any group that does not have something concrete to offer - not at a time when he has to deal with not only daily bombings but corruption in the Supreme court, and elsewhere. He just doesn't have time for mere supporters.

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Joe - another one
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Anything other than publicly cordial and coincidental meetings would provide the propaganda machines and probably their legal systems with all the ammunition they would need to tar both of them a ' collaborative ', which as Joe says is only fuel for the autocrats

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Joe
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It is very simple. Ukraine is not trying to provoke Lukashenko into capitulating to Moscow's demands that it formally enter the war. If Ukraine were to come out with very strong public support of the opposition, Lukashenko would be much more likely to send his Army across the border. It is one thing to allow Russia to use Belorussia as a staging area, it is another thing for Belorussia to become an actual participant in the war. Ukraine taking a public stance of support for the opposition would be a boon to Russia - not the opposition.

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Frederik
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I understood that the Belarusian opposition believes in further dialogue with the Russian regime, and has hinted about Ukraine doing concessions towards Russia in order to broker a peace deal. Therefor, from the perspective of Ukraine and its leadership, people like Tsikhanouskaya are too soft on Russia. Personally, I believe Ukraine is quite right about this.

Anna Maria
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@Frederik, thanks for your remark. If this is true, Ican understand it.

Steve
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@Anna Maria, @Frederik

Steve
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Baloney to Anna Maria & Frederik

Barry L.
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@Steve, please state your case.

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