• Ukraine’s counter-offensive in Kherson is gathering momentum. Their forces have highly likely established a bridgeshire south of the Ingulets River, which forms the northern boundary of Russian-occupied Kherson.
  • Ukraine has used its long range artillery to damage at least three of the bridges across the Dnirpo River that Russia relies upon to supply the areas under its control. One of these, the 1,000 metre long Antonivsky bridge near Kherson city, was damaged last week. Ukraine struck again on 27 July 2022 and it is highly likely that the crossing is now unusable.
  • Russia’s 49th Army is stationed on the west bank of the Dnipro River and now looks highly vulnerable. Similarly, Kherson city, the most politically significant population centre occupied by Russia, is now virtually cut off from the other occupied territories. Its loss would severely undermine Russia’s attempts to paint the occupation as a success.
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