Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least two sectors of the front and advanced near Robotyne.

  • Ukrainian strikes against Russian deep rear areas are generating discontent in the Russian information space and sparking criticism of the Russian military command, as Ukraine likely intends.

  • Ukrainian strikes on Russian rear areas are demonstrably degrading the morale of Russian forces in Ukraine, which could threaten the stability of Russian defenses.

  • The Netherlands and Denmark confirmed that they will transfer F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine but did not specify when.

  • Russian officials have reportedly drafted a plan to conduct a decade-long ethnic cleansing campaign in occupied Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.

  • Wagner Group commanders accused two high-ranking Wagner representatives of betraying Wagner, possibly representing a growing fracture within the Wagner leadership and suggesting that the Kremlin’s and Russian MoD’s efforts to disband Wagner are partially succeeding.

  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Kupyansk, Kreminna, Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast on August 20 and marginally advanced near Bakhmut.

  • Wagner Group fighters continue to commit violent crimes after returning to Russia.

  • Russian officials continue to forcibly transport mothers and children from occupied Ukrainian territories to Russia under the guise of medical retreats.

    ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24, 2024
    Other Topics of Interest

    ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24, 2024

    Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

Authors: Nicole Wolkov, Angelica Evans, Christina Harward, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Frederick W. Kagan.

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