The full-scale invasion of Ukraine has been raging for over three years now, and with every passing day, the costs for Russia continue to mount. The longer Russians choose to fight, the higher the price they will pay – not only in human lives, but in the deep, irreversible consequences that will haunt their country for generations to come.

This is not just about battlefield losses and the current economic tolls. Reparations for the vast destruction Russia has inflicted will be enormous. Ukraine will not rebuild its devastated cities and shattered infrastructure alone. Russia will be held financially responsible for every school, hospital, apartment block, bridge, power station, and piece of critical infrastructure it has destroyed.

But the costs go far beyond buildings. Entire agricultural fields, forests, rivers, and even the Black Sea are contaminated with mines and unexploded ordnance, rendering them dangerous for civilians and unusable for economic recovery. Russia will be forced to fund extensive demining operations, a process that will take decades and cost billions.

Reparations will also include compensation for stolen Ukrainian grain and minerals, looted systematically throughout the occupied territories to feed Russia’s economy while inflicting heavy damage on Ukraine’s economy.

But Russia’s economic war against Ukraine went even further. It deliberately destroyed ships, cargo terminals, and warehouses filled with grain and other export materials, targeting Ukraine’s ability to trade and cutting off critical revenue streams needed for the country’s daily function. These attacks were designed to cripple Ukraine’s economy and threaten global food security, and Russia will be held financially responsible for the damage inflicted not only on Ukraine but also on the international markets that depend on its exports.

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Meanwhile, the longer Russia delays laying down its weapons, the more severe the sanctions and international isolation it will face. For example, Finland has already banned Russian citizens from purchasing property within its borders, signaling a new level of economic exclusion. It is only a matter of time before other countries follow this suit, expand travel bans and impose harsher restrictions targeting entire industries.

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Justice will not be optional; it will be demanded by Ukraine and enforced by the international community.

These escalating measures will further devastate Russia’s economy and deepen its diplomatic isolation, making the cost of continued aggression even more unbearable. The path back to the global community becomes increasingly narrow and fraught with each day of the war.

Additionally, lawsuits will be mounted against war criminals at every level, from ordinary soldiers who looted homes, stole civilian belongings, and committed acts of violence and torture, to officers and commanders who ordered strikes on civilian infrastructure and targeted innocent lives.

Unlike the prosecution of Nazis after World War II, which took years to document and build evidence for each case, this time justice will come much faster. Today’s atrocities are recorded in real time. We have what we did not have before: digital footprints, satellite imagery, intercepted calls, and endless footage from drones and smartphones. Evidence collection is ongoing, and avoiding court judgments and punishment will be close to impossible for those involved. Each Russian family whose member is serving in the army should think about it.

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And reparations will not stop with destroyed infrastructure, mined lands, or looted resources. Russia will also be forced to return the thousands of Ukrainian children it abducted. These children were forcibly taken from their homes, stripped of their identities, and subjected to re-education programs in an attempt to erase their Ukrainian roots. Returning them to their families and communities will be a non-negotiable precondition for any future negotiations or normalization.

Those who participated in this genocidal crime, from officials who organized these abductions to the families who adopted and concealed these children, will also be prosecuted. Accountability will extend to every individual and institution involved in the systematic erasure of Ukrainian identity and childhood. Justice will not be optional; it will be demanded by Ukraine and enforced by the international community.

And why will Russia pay these enormous costs? Because it will have no other choice if it ever hopes to rejoin the global economy. It must demonstrate genuine accountability. Only then can the world begin to slowly return to normalcy, rebuild trust, and consider the possibility of forgiveness, a process that will take considerable time and sincere effort. Business with Russia will not simply resume because the guns go silent; it will require clear proof of reparations, child repatriation, and justice for war crimes committed.

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Finally, Russians are well aware that they live under oppression. Their economy is deteriorating, systemic corruption permeates every level of governance, and widespread poverty continues to deepen with no relief in sight. Any genuine desire to build a better future – to reform their country, adopt best global practices, and create systems that serve people rather than exploit them – will remain impossible as long as the invasion of Ukraine continues. The first and only step toward meaningful change is to lay down their weapons, withdraw from Ukraine, and begin the long process of reparations, accountability, and rebuilding both at home and abroad.

The views expressed in this opinion article are the author’s and not necessarily those of Kyiv Post. 

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