Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski said Russia might stage a false-flag operation against Poland or Russia itself using Ukrainian drones.
Sikorski said Russian President Vladimir Putin might use the drones against NATO or Russia itself to justify an escalation.
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“Putin even said something like this about a month ago. He stated: If we are attacked by a NATO country, we will respond,” Sikorski said, according to Polish outlet PAP.
“That’s why we suspect he plans to prepare Ukrainian drones and use them to attack a NATO country or Russia, and then respond to such an attack. This is the kind of action he might be planning because he’s desperate and losing,” Sikorski added.
Other European intelligence agencies also suggested that Russia might test NATO’s resolve by staging minor provocations around the Baltic region, while observers argue that Russia might escalate with NATO to justify a general mobilization amid manpower shortages.
The Polish foreign minister added that he believes Moscow lacks the combat capability to attack a NATO member, though Russia’s ongoing hybrid war against Europe, including cyberattacks and election interference, should remain a cause for concern.
Sikorski’s comments came after Washington warned Warsaw in early July that Russia may be considering an armed provocation on Polish territory in the coming months to test NATO’s resolve.
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Sikorski also brushed off the warning in a recent interview, acknowledging the risks before adding that it’s not cause for panic as Poland has braced itself for escalations with Russia “for about 500 years.”
Poland had been the subject of a direct Russian provocation in September 2025, when 19 Russian drones entered Poland and crashed inside the country. Poland managed to shoot down four and later invoked NATO’s Article 4 on consultations.
While the incident led to more discussions of bolstering air defense, including via the proposed “drone wall” initiative at the time, it did not result in actual military confrontations with Russia.
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